Eli Mitchell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Eli Mitchell

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Eli Mitchell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Elijah Mitchell has run a route on 44.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Elijah Mitchell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs, completing an impressive 96.2% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.
Elijah Mitchell has been among the most effective receivers in the league among RBs, averaging a terrific 7.61 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 81st percentile.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has struggled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 7.74 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to call the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.