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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Dyami Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-165/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 11.3% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 65.4% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Dyami Brown's 30.6% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a a meaningful gain in his pass attack workload over last year's 15.2% rate.

Since the start of last season, the weak Chicago Bears pass defense has given up a colossal 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 6th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 121.7 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bears, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 34.0 per game) this year.

Dyami Brown has been among the weakest WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 1.0 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 10th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

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