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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Dyami Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+123/-169).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -169.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dyami Brown to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game this week (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.1% in games he has played).
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (68.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (68.5%).
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
  • The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Dyami Brown has been among the worst possession receivers in football, completing a measly 50.1% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 20th percentile among wideouts
  • The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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