Dyami Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Dyami Brown

NFL · Player Props

Dyami Brown

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 14, 2022 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Dyami Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Dyami Brown to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game this week (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.1% in games he has played).
Dyami Brown has notched significantly more air yards this season (34.0 per game) than he did last season (25.0 per game).
The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (68.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (68.5%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Dyami Brown has been among the worst possession receivers in football, completing a measly 50.1% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 20th percentile among wideouts
The Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 137.0) to wideouts this year.

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