Durham Smythe Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Durham Smythe

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Touchdowns

Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Durham Smythe Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Ravens offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense last year: 2nd-most in football.

Favors Under

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.
The model projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the 10th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 45.7% red zone run rate.
With a middling 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) last year, Durham Smythe has been as one of the TEs with the most usage near the end zone in football.
When it comes to air yards, Durham Smythe ranks in the measly 9th percentile among tight ends last year, averaging just 1.0 per game.