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Durham Smythe
NFL · Player Props
Durham Smythe
TE · Miami Dolphins
Receptions
Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023 Updated Oct 23, 2023 12:11 AM UTC
NFL Props Durham Smythe Receptions

Durham Smythe Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.

Favors Over
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
  • Durham Smythe has gone out for fewer passes this year (81.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (27.1%).
  • Durham Smythe's 2.2 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a a substantial progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 1.2 figure.
Favors Under
  • At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
  • The Eagles safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
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