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Durham Smythe
NFL · Player Props
Durham Smythe
TE · Miami Dolphins
Receptions
Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2022 Updated Sep 29, 2022 11:40 PM UTC
NFL Props Durham Smythe Receptions

Durham Smythe Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -149.

Favors Over
  • The Dolphins are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Dolphins have been the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 68.5% pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Completion% in the NFL (74.9%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (74.9%).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.
Favors Under
  • The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Durham Smythe's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 86.9% to 83.3%.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
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