Durham Smythe Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Durham Smythe

NFL · Player Props

Durham Smythe

TE · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Durham Smythe Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
Durham Smythe has gone out for fewer passes this year (81.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (27.1%).
Durham Smythe has put up quite a few more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (5.0 per game).

Favors Under

At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
The Eagles safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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