Drew Sample Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Drew Sample

NFL · Player Props

Drew Sample

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Drew Sample Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 68.6% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the daunting Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed a puny 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 6th-best rate in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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