Drew Sample Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Drew Sample

NFL · Player Props

Drew Sample

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Drew Sample Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 68.6% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.
Drew Sample has notched a paltry 1.0 air yards per game this year: just 13th percentile when it comes to TEs.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
Drew Sample profiles as one of the bottom pass-game tight ends this year, averaging a lowly 8.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 12th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
With a bad 4.2 adjusted yards per target (13th percentile) this year, Drew Sample ranks as one of the bottom pass-catching tight ends in the league.

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