Drew Lock Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Drew Lock

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 3:17 PM EST

Analysis

Drew Lock Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 4-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Drew Lock to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (9.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.9% in games he has played).
The Cardinals defensive ends rank as the best DE corps in the NFL last year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks may rely on the pass game less in this week's game (and call more carries) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Drew Lock.
The model projects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 5th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (just 53.9 per game on average).
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
The model projects Drew Lock to notch 2.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all quarterbacks.