Drew Lock Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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NFL · Player Props

Drew Lock

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Drew Lock Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

The Seahawks may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.
At a -14.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 33.4% of their downs: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Seahawks this year (a measly 55.8 per game on average).