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Drake London

Drake London Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+118/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 131.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
  • Drake London has run a route on 90.3% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.6 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Chiefs pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.7%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (60.7%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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