Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of LBs has been very bad this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Drake London's 20.8% Target% this season illustrates a a substantial decrease in his pass game usage over last season's 29.1% rate.
Drake London's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 62.6% to 57.0%.

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