Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 8th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accrue 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among WRs.
Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 30.5% this year, which places him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.4%) vs. wideouts this year (68.4%).

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 48.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the worst possession receivers in football, hauling in a mere 58.6% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 19th percentile among wideouts

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