Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 2:46 AM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accumulate 8.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 32.3% this year, which ranks in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has been among the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 4.1 receptions per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.39 seconds per play.
Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a mere 58.0% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 19th percentile among WRs
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.6%) versus wide receivers this year (62.6%).
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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