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Drake London

Drake London Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Drake London to total 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among WRs.
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 59.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Drake London to be a much smaller part of his team's passing game this week (27.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (32.1% in games he has played).
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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