Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to earn 8.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 27.8% this year, which places him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the worst possession receivers in football, completing just 58.3% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 10th percentile among wideouts
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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