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Drake London

Drake London Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Drake London to earn 8.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 27.8% this year, which places him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
  • Drake London has been among the worst possession receivers in football, completing just 58.3% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 10th percentile among wideouts
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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