Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to total 6.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among WRs.
Drake London has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 27.9% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile among WRs.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (71.6%) versus WRs this year (71.6%).
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-worst CB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
Drake London has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a mere 60.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 21st percentile among WRs

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