Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+123/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accrue 6.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
Drake London has been an integral part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 28.9% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.3%) versus wide receivers this year (70.3%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 7th-worst group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.7 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, completing a mere 58.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 15th percentile among wideouts
The Atlanta Falcons O-line has given their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.