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Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.23 seconds per play.The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.Drake London has run a route on 90.7% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.This week, Drake London is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 90th percentile among wideouts with 8.3 targets.As it relates to air yards, Drake London ranks in the lofty 83rd percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a striking 72.0 per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 4-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.4%) versus WRs since the start of last season (59.4%).The New Orleans Saints pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 7.62 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in football.As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New Orleans's unit has been tremendous since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.
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