Drake London Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accrue 7.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has been a key part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 29.1% this year, which puts him in the 96th percentile among WRs.
Drake London has notched a whopping 69.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among WRs.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, catching a mere 58.4% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 9th percentile among wideouts

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