Drake London Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving TD

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+301/-536).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +339 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +301.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 8th-most in football.
Drake London has been a big part of his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.5% this year, which ranks in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
Drake London has received a colossal 31.4% of his offense's air yards this year: 88th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London's 67.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 93rd percentile for WRs.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the worst possession receivers in football, hauling in a mere 58.6% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 19th percentile among wideouts
The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 8th-least passing touchdowns in football to wideouts: 0.57 per game this year.

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