Drake London Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving TD

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 5:01 PM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+299/-530).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +312 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +299.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Drake London has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which puts him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
Drake London has accrued a colossal 72.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London's 71.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 96th percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.39 seconds per play.
Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a mere 58.0% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 19th percentile among WRs
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.6%) versus wide receivers this year (62.6%).
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the 3rd-least passing touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 0.33 per game this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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