Drake London Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving TD

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-400).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Drake London has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 28.6% this year, which ranks in the 92nd percentile among WRs.
Drake London has notched a whopping 80.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile among WRs.
Drake London's 72.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 97th percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 56.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 15th percentile among wideouts
The San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered the 4th-least touchdowns through the air in football to wideouts: 0.40 per game this year.
The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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