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Drake London

Drake London Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns

Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+177/-261).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +211 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +177.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 30.0% this year, which ranks him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.

The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Atlanta Falcons have used some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.1 plays per game.

The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.5%) versus WRs since the start of last season (64.5%).

The Cleveland Browns linebackers rank as the best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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