Drake London Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving TD

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+262/-434).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -397 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -434.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 34.5% this year, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has posted a whopping 64.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile among WRs.
Drake London's 60.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 89th percentile for WRs.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (71.6%) versus WRs this year (71.6%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
Drake London has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a mere 60.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 21st percentile among WRs
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 6th-least TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 0.60 per game this year.

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