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Drake London

Drake London Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+262/-434).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -397 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -434.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 34.5% this year, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Drake London has posted a whopping 64.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile among WRs.
  • Drake London's 60.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 89th percentile for WRs.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (71.6%) versus WRs this year (71.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
  • Drake London has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a mere 60.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 21st percentile among WRs
  • The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 6th-least TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 0.60 per game this year.

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