Drake London Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+247/-414).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +297 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +247.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Drake London has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 33.3% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has compiled a colossal 63.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile among wideouts.
Drake London's 63.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 90th percentile for wideouts.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.3%) versus wide receivers this year (70.3%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.7 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, completing a mere 58.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 15th percentile among wideouts
The Carolina Panthers defense has conceded the 5th-least passing touchdowns in football to WRs: 0.56 per game this year.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line has given their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.