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Dorian Thompson-Robinson
NFL · Player Props
Dorian Thompson-Robinson
QB · Cleveland Browns
TD Passes
Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 26, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Dorian Thompson-Robinson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -435 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +150.

Favors Over
  • The Browns have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 66.9 plays per game.
  • The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • This year, the weak Denver Broncos defense has conceded a staggering 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the biggest rate in the league.
  • This year, the porous Denver Broncos defense has allowed a whopping 1.80 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Favors Under
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 52.0% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Denver Broncos, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.9 per game) this year.
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