Dontrell Hilliard Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Dontrell Hilliard

NFL · Player Props

Dontrell Hilliard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Dontrell Hilliard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Dontrell Hilliard to total 4.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
Dontrell Hilliard's 25.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 17.4.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has given up the highest Completion% in the NFL (91.3%) versus running backs this year (91.3%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Dontrell Hilliard's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 78.3% to 74.4%.

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