Dontrell Hilliard Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Dontrell Hilliard

NFL · Player Props

Dontrell Hilliard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 1:55 AM UTC

Analysis

Dontrell Hilliard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Dontrell Hilliard to accumulate 3.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
Dontrell Hilliard's 18.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 93rd percentile for running backs.
Dontrell Hilliard has been among the best pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.
Dontrell Hilliard's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 78.3% to 88.9%.
The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.5 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (73.6%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (73.6%).

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