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Dontrell Hilliard

Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dontrell Hilliard to total 4.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
  • Dontrell Hilliard has accumulated significantly more air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (-4.0 per game).
  • Dontrell Hilliard's 25.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 17.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Dontrell Hilliard's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 78.3% to 74.4%.

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