Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dontrell Hilliard

NFL · Player Props

Dontrell Hilliard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Dontrell Hilliard to notch 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among running backs.
Dontrell Hilliard has notched significantly more air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (-4.0 per game).
Dontrell Hilliard's 23.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 17.4.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The Houston Texans pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (70.8%) versus running backs this year (70.8%).

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