Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Dontrell Hilliard

NFL · Player Props

Dontrell Hilliard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-116/-111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Dontrell Hilliard to garner 4.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Dontrell Hilliard has totaled significantly more air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (-4.0 per game).
Dontrell Hilliard's 24.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 17.4.
Dontrell Hilliard has posted substantially more receiving yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).
Dontrell Hilliard's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 78.3% to 87.8%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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