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Dontrell Hilliard

Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-116/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Dontrell Hilliard to garner 4.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • Dontrell Hilliard has totaled significantly more air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (-4.0 per game).
  • Dontrell Hilliard's 24.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 17.4.
  • Dontrell Hilliard has posted substantially more receiving yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).
  • Dontrell Hilliard's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 78.3% to 87.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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