Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Dontrell Hilliard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Dontrell Hilliard to accumulate 3.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
Dontrell Hilliard's 18.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 93rd percentile for running backs.
Dontrell Hilliard has been among the leading running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 19.0 yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
Dontrell Hilliard's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 78.3% to 88.9%.
Dontrell Hilliard's receiving efficiency has been refined this year, compiling 12.28 yards-per-target compared to a measly 3.91 mark last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.5 plays per game.
Dontrell Hilliard has compiled a meager 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 21st percentile among RBs.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.