Dontayvion Wicks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+335/-376).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.89 seconds per snap.
Philadelphia's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and rushing stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We ought to be able to expect some regression with better weather in this game.
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Tennessee Titans pass defense has yielded a whopping 71.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the largest rate in the NFL.
Favors Under
The Eagles are a huge 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 49.9% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Right now, the most run-focused team in football near the goal line (52.2% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Philadelphia Eagles.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.7 per game) since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Titans run defense has given up a colossal 1.28 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 4th-biggest rate in football.