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D'Onta Foreman

D'Onta Foreman Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D'Onta Foreman Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+118/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to be a more important option in his offense's running game near the goal line this week (79.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (45.8% in games he has played).
  • D'Onta Foreman has run for 0.43 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football among RBs (83rd percentile).
  • The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
  • The Carolina Panthers have risked going for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the 7th-best group of safeties in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
  • The Carolina Panthers have faced a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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