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D'Onta Foreman

D'Onta Foreman Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears

D'Onta Foreman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-220).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a heavy 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

D'Onta Foreman has been much more involved in his offense's pass game this year (8.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (2.0%).

D'Onta Foreman's 1.7 adjusted catches per game this season reflects a material growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 0.3 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bears as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

D'Onta Foreman is positioned as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among running backs, hauling in just 68.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 15th percentile.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.5%) to running backs this year (75.5%).

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