D'Onta Foreman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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D'Onta Foreman

NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.
The Bears are a heavy 8.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
The Chargers linebackers profile as the 9th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 5th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Bears.
D'Onta Foreman comes in as one of the weakest pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 0.6 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 12th percentile among RBs.

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