D'Onta Foreman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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D'Onta Foreman

NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:17 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.
The Bears are a heavy 8.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (53.0) to RBs this year.
This year, the anemic Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a staggering 7.61 yards.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 5th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Bears.
With a subpar 4.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (15th percentile) since the start of last season, D'Onta Foreman places as one of the worst pass-catching RBs in football.

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