D'Onta Foreman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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D'Onta Foreman

NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB PJ Walker in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to garner 3.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.16 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the league.
The Carolina Panthers O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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