D'Onta Foreman Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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D'Onta Foreman

NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to notch 11.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (45.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (11.0% in games he has played).
The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will be rolling out backup QB PJ Walker in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Panthers are a huge 13.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.3 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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