Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 1:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-194/+139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -174 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -194.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 66.0 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Colts linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Browns are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 52.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has been much less involved in his offense's pass game this season (8.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (19.4%).
Donovan Peoples-Jones's 1.2 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a a material diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season's 3.7 mark.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's 42.5% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a a substantial decrease in his pass-catching talent over last season's 65.8% mark.

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