Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 9:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-195/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has run a route on 84.5% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
The Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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