Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-118/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has played on 84.4% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has compiled far more air yards this year (69.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, averaging just 7.48 yards-per-target vs a 9.45 rate last year.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 9th-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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