Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 22, 2022 11:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns will be starting backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in increased pass volume, lower running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing better conditions in this week's game.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has run a route on 84.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has accumulated a colossal 63.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 60.3% to 47.5%.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, averaging a mere 5.24 yards-per-target vs a 9.45 rate last year.