Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+262/-436).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +283 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +262.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has put up a monstrous 66.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among WRs.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Donovan Peoples-Jones does not have any receiving touchdowns this year.
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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