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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.18 seconds per snap.
  • In this game, D.K. Metcalf is forecasted by the model to rank in the 84th percentile among WRs with 8.0 targets.
  • With a stellar 4.5 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf rates as one of the best WRs in the NFL in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • D.K. Metcalf's 54.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 68.3.
  • The Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.2%) to wideouts this year (57.2%).

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