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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offense has played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
  • In this contest, D.K. Metcalf is expected by the model to slot into the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
  • D.K. Metcalf's 64.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 88th percentile for wideouts.
  • D.K. Metcalf checks in as one of the top WRs in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 4.6 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the tough Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded a meager 58.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best rate in the league.

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