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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-157/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -157.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.9% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect D.K. Metcalf to garner 7.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • D.K. Metcalf ranks in the 86th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 62.2 figure this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
  • D.K. Metcalf's receiving talent has diminished this season, totaling a mere 4.3 adjusted receptions vs 5.3 last season.

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